BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Tracer Bullet on Thu Nov 4th at 7:05am 2004


It came from a UN report. INTERPOL was only the first of several data sources and I didn't want to crowd the graph. If you want to see everything: Linky

I can't really imagine a plausible way to establish confidence limits on this type of data. The major sources of error are almost certainly in classification and initial reporting of the crimes. The best you can hope for is that the error is equal in each country surveyed, and so the relative comparison ought to be valid if not the absolute values. I suppose you could collect the information several times and generate your interval from that, but such a procedure would undoubtedly produce a significant underestimate of the actual figure.

Edit: If you want to see some equally impressive homicide data it's all here.

[addsig]




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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Cash Car Star on Thu Nov 4th at 7:16am 2004


Rape is a tough stat to track because so many incidents go unreported due to the perceived guilt and shame that go along with it. Perhaps Canada just has the populace staunch enough to report it.

Oh, and Orph, about your three things on Kerry, only #1 was true. Kerry is pro-choice.

He is against gay marriage (despite coming from Massachusetts) but believes that there should be no national position on the subject - that states should be allowed to come to their own conclusion. This is the same view Dick Cheney has on the subject, btw. And as you might have seen, on Tuesday 11 states had a referendum on whether it should be banned in that state, and every one passed it, even the fairly liberal Oregon which had a big push trying to shoot it down.

I haven't heard a thing about him being anti-guns. I think what is likely is he wants to reinstate the ban on automatic weaponry. The difference between

Previously Illegal: Automatic: Holding down the trigger will fire consecutive bullets

Always Legal: Semi-automatic: The gun will reload itself, but the trigger must be released and pulled again before another bullet is fired.

You can hold the view that automatics sould be allowed, but I fail to see how supporting a ban for what really has little need outside of a combat situation is evil.





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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Cassius on Thu Nov 4th at 7:57am 2004


? quoting Cash Car Star

Rape is a tough stat to track because so many incidents go unreported due to the perceived guilt and shame that go along with it. Perhaps Canada just has the populace staunch enough to report it.

These were my thoughts exactly - it must be assumed that the number of reported rapes are quite a bit fewer than the rapes themselves.





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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Crono on Thu Nov 4th at 8:08am 2004


? quote:
Rape is a tough stat to track because so many incidents go unreported due to the perceived guilt and shame that go along with it. Perhaps Canada just has the populace staunch enough to report it.

Oh, and Orph, about your three things on Kerry, only #1 was true. Kerry is pro-choice.

He is against gay marriage (despite coming from Massachusetts) but believes that there should be no national position on the subject - that states should be allowed to come to their own conclusion. This is the same view Dick Cheney has on the subject, btw. And as you might have seen, on Tuesday 11 states had a referendum on whether it should be banned in that state, and every one passed it, even the fairly liberal Oregon which had a big push trying to shoot it down.

I haven't heard a thing about him being anti-guns. I think what is likely is he wants to reinstate the ban on automatic weaponry. The difference between

Previously Illegal: Automatic: Holding down the trigger will fire consecutive bullets

Always Legal: Semi-automatic: The gun will reload itself, but the trigger must be released and pulled again before another bullet is fired.

You can hold the view that automatics sould be allowed, but I fail to see how supporting a ban for what really has little need outside of a combat situation is evil.


See, the thing is "Oregon" in general isn't that liberal. 65% of the state is rural or agricultural = farmers = heavy religious opinion. The only problem I really had with people voting "YES" on 36 was if they did it for the religious reason, since that has no baring on a judicial outcome (which is most marriage situations) and it isn't right to hold someone else accountable for your religious views. If they want it to be a religious only affair, that's fine, as long as ALL marriages become religion only and Judicial marriages become another type of union with similar benefits. It simply isn't fair any other way. [addsig]




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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Tracer Bullet on Thu Nov 4th at 8:10am 2004


? quoting Cassius
? quoting Cash Car Star

Rape is a tough stat to track because so many incidents go unreported due to the perceived guilt and shame that go along with it. Perhaps Canada just has the populace staunch enough to report it.

These were my thoughts exactly - it must be assumed that the number of reported rapes are quite a bit fewer than the rapes themselves.

This is probably why the statistic is reported rape.

[addsig]




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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Leperous on Thu Nov 4th at 9:42am 2004


lol Tracer, I love that graph and how it "squashes" the higher rape and murder rates... So, "400/100,000" assault in the UK compared to "310/100,000" in the US? So you're 1.3 times as likely to be assaulted. But note that rape rates are twice as higher than all the other countries on that graph, except the strange Canada figures, and it doesn't seem to list murder, for which I have heard statistics that you are up to 6 times as likely to be murdered in the USA. And again according to your graph, it doesn't seem like Israel has the lowest rape figures at all.

Perhaps most crucial of all, it says nothing about gun crime!

Anyway, you can always find all sorts of crime figures, and ones fudged to show what you want them to- and don't forget, these figures probably only show *reported* crimes, so of course there will be some extra bias there (I'm sure if you looked at Zimbabwe's crime levels right now there wouldn't be much being reported!). If you want to tell us your actual source Tracer it would be appreciated

Since we're talking about letting people own guns to defend themselves, I guess it's ok for countries to own nuclear weapons to defend themselves too?





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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by scary_jeff on Thu Nov 4th at 10:00am 2004


? quote:
Oh... I'm sorry? Does that burst the bubble all of you non-Americans have been blowing about how violent we are? Certainly we are not the best in the world, but you cannot make the case that America is a more dangerous place then England because of gun laws. It isn't, for whatever reason, and that's a fact.


Nonsense. That chart is totally meaningless in this debate. It provides no information about gun crimes whatsoever.

Even if it did show gun crime information, it still wouldn't matter, because banning gnus would still reduce the number of gun deaths. I just don't understand why so many of you can't accept that.

Let's say america had the lowest gun death rate in the whole world. Why is it bad to reduce this further by taking guns away completely?




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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Spartan on Thu Nov 4th at 10:07am 2004


? quoting Cassius
? quoting Cash Car Star

Rape is a tough stat to track because so many incidents go unreported due to the perceived guilt and shame that go along with it. Perhaps Canada just has the populace staunch enough to report it.

These were my thoughts exactly - it must be assumed that the number of reported rapes are quite a bit fewer than the rapes themselves.

Why the hell do you guys continue to make up excuses to try and make it look like your country isn't as bad as the "big bully America". Do you really think that just because a women is in another country will make her report her own rape? Being in another country and reporting I crime against you will be the same if you were in America. Oh but I guess its better to report it in Canada because I'm sure you mountian man police force which we all know is the best in the world can catch any criminal. If canada had the population of America they would have equal the crime. Forgive me for saying this but a lot of our crime also comes from the black population.

Now I want to note that I am not just saying this to everyone in Canada but all the rest of you who bash America for such a horrid place it is because our crime rate is higher than yours, but then you don't want to take into fact that our population is higher than yours because we all know that would change nothing.





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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Pvt.Scythe on Thu Nov 4th at 10:09am 2004


This topic has grown a lot in couple of hours... It's nice to see Finlands statistics. But they say that we are one of the best countries to invest in, but for some reason or another I don't see very many investments in here. Statistics can be quite misleading to say the least. [addsig]



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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Orpheus on Thu Nov 4th at 10:11am 2004


i have lived in 3 different college cities.. belton texas,conway arkansas and jonesboro arkansas, and rape is a bit higher here than anyplace else i have lived.. perhaps its because of the kids, perhaps its no means yes, perhaps the numbers are skewed i dunno, but rape is reported often here.

assault is pretty high in jonesboro, people are always drinking beer and you know how rednecks are .. guns.. i cannot even remember when i heard a thing about guns.. maybe its so common people do not report it as much anymore, maybe the level has dropped i dunno, but the only time i ever hear about guns anymore is during hunting season... most deaths are reported as accidental.. many deer rifles have much more power than our military weaponry used in the US.. they have less range, but lots more knockdown power.. most people hit with ammunition intended to kill deers.. well they don't fare very well..

[addsig]




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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Orpheus on Thu Nov 4th at 10:20am 2004


? quoting scary_jeff

Even if it did show gun crime information, it still wouldn't matter, because banning gnus would still reduce the number of gun deaths. I just don't understand why so many of you can't accept that.

Let's say america had the lowest gun death rate in the whole world. Why is it bad to reduce this further by taking guns away completely?

think of it this way jeff.. now bare with me..

imagine, guns are easier to obtain in the USA, thats pretty much assumed.. now imagine, you are some punk who wants to break into your home/business.. he might hesitate to do it, because there could be some trigger happy redneck/suburban housewife in there with a gun..

what we will never EVER know is exactly how many people are saved because the resident may or may not have a gun in the area..

lowering the number of available guns could very well remove the only deterrent there is to violent crimes becoming a reality one can poll.. you cannot poll what doesn't happen.. and i doubt very seriously you will get criminals to say "yup i skipped that one alright"

lets assume i am wrong, but i couldn't be wrong by very much.. simply because the crimes not involving guns are far more numerous, at least i hear about them more.

[addsig]




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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by gimpinthesink on Thu Nov 4th at 10:33am 2004


I in no means am saying that Englansd is better than America on crime because for some of them its just as bad.

I can go down town on a Thursday, Friday or Saturday night and the chanses are that I will get hit for no reason cos Mansfield is well known around atleast Nottinghamshire for the fights on the weekend, and St Anns well they have loads of gun crime there to say its just a small part of Nottingham there was a girl about 14-15 shot there for as of yet no reason while she was walking home from Goose Fair (its an anual fair that goes off in Notts).

As I have said I dont think England is better on crime than America but I do think that it could be a whole lot better.

I know this has nothing to do with anything else in this thread but I heard something really stupid a while ago. Someone from some equality thinkg for africans and asians was complaining about the number of black and asian people in the police over here and he said theat he wanted the police to recrut more even if they couldn't do the job. [addsig]




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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Leperous on Thu Nov 4th at 11:22am 2004


Anyway... when are the New Mexico and Iowa results expected in? (not that it makes much difference, but it's more on topic than gun crime )

And are there more electoral college votes this year, or have things changed? In 2000 Gore got 266 votes and Bush 271 (total 537). This year, if Kerry had won N.Mexico and Iowa he would 264 votes (and Bush still 274- total 540). BUT if Kerry did win those states, then he will have won exactly the same as Gore did plus New Hampshire, which is an extra 4 votes if I'm not mistaken- so he would have got 270 if the college vote distribution was the same as last time (instead of 266) ?!





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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Yak_Fighter on Thu Nov 4th at 11:27am 2004


According to Yahoo New Mexico has been declared for Bush and that Iowa has Bush at 50% and Kerry at 49% with 100% of the precincts reporting. Dunno why they are still holding out, as it makes no difference whatsoever.





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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Mephs on Thu Nov 4th at 12:48pm 2004


Considering the closeness of the election result, if this 50-50 trend continues, perhaps Amercia should adopt a system like the power sharing agreement in Northern Ireland. While Northern Ireland itself isn't the best example of this government in action (rather inaction!) it is truly representative of all people's opinions, rather than the more or less majority rule government the US currently have. Of course, over here the politics are extremely polarised which the are not in the US, no matter how people like to delude themselves.

[addsig]




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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Gwil on Thu Nov 4th at 1:34pm 2004


I'd say England, currently, is probably a more dangerous place in terms of menial/low level assaults than the US (after their big drive to clean it up). It's not even confined to lower class areas.

Also, Asians/Blacks have nothing to do with the UK crime figures, the Indian/Pakistanis barely make up 2% of the populous, and black people not much more than 8%. The race card is only usually played by people who have no grasp of society in general, and how it currently works.

Fact of the matter is, people nowadays are living in fear of being assaulted/mugged/abused (verbally/physically) inside, and outside of their homes - by white, teenage thugs.

And someone needs to sort it out, fast


[addsig]




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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Leperous on Thu Nov 4th at 3:14pm 2004


Bloody chavs.



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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Wild Card on Thu Nov 4th at 4:19pm 2004


On the whole crime rate thing. Here it is for where I live.

Orl?ans, Blackburn Hamlet, North Gloucester and Cumberland
This
week
Last
week
YTD
Residential break-ins
4
5
188
Commercial break-ins
0
0
80
Stolen vehicles
2
9
114
Robberies
4
0
28

You'll notice its still pretty heavy. Not so bad in the "this week" column, which is from last week. I live in Orleans, which is South-east of Ottawa. Blackburn is just North-west of Orleans, Gloucester is more or less north, and Cumberland is to the east. So I guess you can call it the crime rate for the east end of Ottawa. It includes quite a bit however. And unfortunatly, most of it is located here in Orleans. All the local teens with nothing to do

[edit] you'll never believe some of the dumb crime thats going on around.

? quote:
- Oct. 26 @ 10:40 a.m. Henri Lauzon St. and Jeanne d'Arc Blvd., Orl?ans. Fireplace stolen from house under construction.

? quote:
- Oct. 31 @ 7:14 p.m. 1900 block Belcourt Blvd., Orl?ans. Victim was walking outside with a bowl of candy when he was jumped by kids. No injuries. Seven or eight suspects all white males 13 to 14 years old.

? quote:
- Oct. 31 @ 8:21 p.m. 1000 block Laporte St., Beacon Hill. Theft of candies during Halloween. Five white males (18-19 yrs) in silver Honda. Stole bag of candies from victim.

? quote:
- Oct. 31 @ 10:09 p.m. 2400 block Ogilvie Rd., Beacon Hill. Teens robbed of Halloween candy. Two male suspects, one white, one black driving older model white car.

[addsig]




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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Gwil on Thu Nov 4th at 4:49pm 2004


Heh, you should try living in the UK - those incidents are incredibly tame compared with the daily happenings on our streets.

Teens with nothing to do drink cider and mug/assault people, incredibly viciously as well.


[addsig]




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Re: BUSH WINS NOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!
Posted by Yak_Fighter on Thu Nov 4th at 4:52pm 2004


That sounds like quite the utopia! Remind me again how that is seriously better than a US with guns aplenty?

EDIT: Maybe with the expiration of the ban on assault weapons I can finally legally buy myself a fiveseven... awesome.






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