I thought it odd that we don't have an active thread on this topic. Seems like most of us are intelligent reasonable people and I'd like to hear your opinions.
What follows is "why I'm going to vote for Bush" and I'd very much like to hear "why I'm voting for Kerry" from someone else :smile:
At the outset of this election season I was pretty well undecided. I don't like what Bush has done in many respects. The violation of people's right to due-process, and his bungling of the case for war in Iraq foremost among them. However, the the debates have convinced me that he is the best choice.
The Iraq war is not actually my biggest issue, and in any case there is no material difference in position between the candidates. Kerry's "plan" is to do the same thing that Bush is already, except he thinks he can do a better job of it. However, you'll notice he never says
how it will be better, it just magically will be because he is president.
The deciding difference between the candidates is there positions on social and economic issues. Kerry thinks he can "end the recession" and pay down the deficit Bush has created by "taxing the top 1%". Firstly, the recession is already over. I don't know if the Bush tax cuts helped or not, but the fact remains that the economy is steadily recovering. Kerry blames Bush for the recession, but offers no plausible mechanism to connect any of his actions with what has transpired. Secondly, the historical record shows that raising the maximum marginal tax rates (what Kerry proposes) can do nothing but lead to greater economic stagnation and recession. I believe that Kerry's policies will hurt the recovery significantly.
I'm not happy that Bush has run up the deficit, but people have to remember that the "surplus" was
projected based on the economic conditions of the time. it was not money in the bank and most of it evaporated simply because of the recession. I don't believe that Kerry can bring the deficit under control without raising taxes on everyone, and further damaging the fragile economic recovery we are experiencing.
All that is based on my admittedly uneducated view of economics and is enough in itself for me to chose Bush over Kerry. However, I am no going to indulge in a little in my personal opinion of Kerry based on his debate performance.
1. Kerry has no sense of realism:
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I'm paraphrasing, but in the second debate he said "I have a plan to eliminate U.S. dependence on foreign oil in 10 years" This statement is patently fantastic, if not deceitful. This might be possible if we stopped all production of plastics and banned automobiles. but I doubt it. I'm not going to get into the specifics of just how silly this statement is but trust my word as a physical scientist. It's not possible.
Bush alleged that Kerry's proposed spending would total 2.2 Trillion over 10 years. Kerry's response was "that's not the number". This subject came up in both the second and the third debates, yet Kerry never had a number to fire back. Why? it makes no sense not to counter the talking point in a concrete way. I can only conclude that he has no idea how much his proposals will cost.
Every time Kerry is asked "how will you pay for it?" he says "tax the top 1%" or some variation there of. I'm opposed to governmental wealth redistribution on sheer stubborn principle, but all that aside, I don't see how he's going to get enough money.
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2. Kerry does not know or understand what his own "Plans" or issues are:
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Getting back to his energy "plan" in the same debate where he promised "10 years to Mideast oil independence", he referred people to his website for more information. I was very curious so I went and this is what I found:
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http://www.johnkerry.com/issues/energy/
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Nothing concrete or credible regarding his promise. There are good ideas there, but none that are not already being pursued by the Bush administration and independently at research universities around the world.
To top it off, the estimations for time-frames and market-share inroads are ridiculously optimistic. What really pisses me off is that he promised information; what I got was pure propaganda.
On stem cells: in the second debate Kerry tried to depict Bush as "waffling" because he allowed the existing lines of stem cells to be used while banning the creation of more. Again, I paraphrase but he said:
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"So destroying some life is okay, but more is not? where do you draw the line?"
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This demonstrates a complete lack of understanding. The preexisting cell lines do not require the destruction of an embryo. they are self propagating, and preexistent to the bush administration. Now, Kerry is not a scientist, and under ordinary circumstances I would by happy to cede his right to ignorance on this subject. The problem is, it's his pet issue. He is the one who made it a campaign issue, he is the one who brought it into this discussion. I cannot excuse basic ignorance of subject which is supposed to be an important part of his platform.
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3. Kerry says whatever he thinks people want to hear without reference to his official platform.
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A good example of this is his "energy plan" statement, but I do not need to rehash this.
Another good one is his position on the environment. Now, admittedly, Bush has a terrible environmental record, and to play off of this Kerry has tried to paint himself as an environmental advocate. However his pandering has gotten him into trouble here. In his energy plan he talks about raising the efficiency of automobiles and all sorts of laudable reforms, but in one of the debates (third or second I think) he states (paraphrase) "I will lower the cost of gasoline" now, if you have comprehensive strategy for environmental protection and improving efficiency the very
last thing you should be doing is lowering the cost of gasoline. It's cheap gas that allows automakers and consumers to indulge in the utterly useless waste of resources represented by an SUV. He is also advocating further domestic "exploration" in his energy plan. Translation: drilling in Anwar (sp?). not an environmentally friendly thing to do.
This is just one of many examples where his individual platform planks conflict with each other, but I think this has gotten long enough.
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